Saturday 11 January 2014

Investment Strategies based on Low P/B with Fundamental Scoring, Earning Manipulator Flag, Bankcruptcy Flag and reasonable ROE and ROIC

Recently working on a project to identify those singapore listed stocks, what are the stocks that are currently selling below P/B value, coupled with good fundamental F-score(Piotroski Scoring) (>=7) on the most recent year, with No Earning Manipulation flag detected using Baneish M-score and using Altman Z-flag, I included ROE and ROIC inside the calculation as well and filter out some SG stocks

The reasoning of the filter is that those low P/B stocks usually are selling below P/B because they are not earning a reasonable ROE that cover the cost of equity, but having a high fundamental score also means that they are fundamentally strong and using Baneish M-score, we will know that whether the company got manipulate the earning and the risk of bankcruptcy is also low through Altman Z-score.

If we are pretty sure the company is safe and yet it generate a reasonable ROE, there is hardly unlikely that the price of the stock will remain below price of book value for a long time period, it might means that it could have margin of safety investing in those companies.

I think Dukang Distillers stands out from the table as it has very 0.5 P/B ratio,with a P/E of 3 and with high ROE and ROIC recent year, definitely worth take a look as a value play, Tat Seng package stands out as well.


Stock NamePrice To Book RatioPrice To Earning RatioF-Score Previous YearF-Score LatestM-ScoreZ-scoreO-scoreROEROIC
FABCHEM CHINA LTD0.32599647214.259111177Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt9.41972942411.39632628
CHOSEN HOLDINGS LTD0.52821562924.5833334877Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt5.1028536075.802938958
DUKANG DISTILLERS HOLDINGS L0.5650136443.09518666867Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt19.7105835816.93335908
TAT SENG PACKAGING GROUP LTD0.5968109475.71725584147Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt11.010043598.019543261
JASON MARINE GROUP LTD0.6586151852788Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt5.7789519675.909320194
TIONG WOON CORP HLDG LTD0.6614149647.96086482238Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt7.7287767515.885250384
NAM LEE PRESSED METAL IND0.6697268758.39776053477Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt12.9622071712.29955767
DUTECH HOLDINGS LTD0.8012079534.81519041128Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt10.1962505113.773904
NEW TOYO INTERNATIONAL HLDGS0.8215834118.19034890687Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt9.9625714518.922675953
CDW HOLDING LTD0.8433358714.75609422478Not Earning ManipulatorNot likely to bankruptNot likely bankrupt14.2347597912.59124281

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